Statball

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Washington Nationals
8
100% — our call
Final
St. Louis Cardinals
5
0% — our call
Washington Nationalsgame flow — win probabilitySt. Louis Cardinals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cardinals in control. Red fill: Nationals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Nationals · 11 H, 4 ECardinals · 14 H, 3 E
0%
Cardinals win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Cardinals win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 11Leo Bernal flies out to right fielder Dylan Crews.
bot 11Jordan Walker strikes out swinging.
bot 11Iván Herrera strikes out swinging.
bot 11José Fermín walks. JJ Wetherholt to 3rd. Alec Burleson to 2nd.
bot 11Alec Burleson singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jacob Young. JJ Wetherholt to 2nd.
bot 11JJ Wetherholt singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Jacob Young. Nathan Church scores.8–5
top 11Jorbit Vivas flies out to left fielder José Fermín.
top 11Dylan Crews out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jordan Walker. Jacob Young scores.8–4

Context the model prices

Washington Nationals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jorbit Vivas 4-6, 1 RBI · Daylen Lile 1-6, 1 HR, 2 RBI · James Wood 2-5
St. Louis Cardinals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
José Fermín 3-5, 1 RBI · Iván Herrera 3-5 · Nathan Church 2-5

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.