Statball

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Chicago White Sox
1
0% — our call
Final
St. Louis Cardinals
3
100% — our call
Chicago White Soxgame flow — win probabilitySt. Louis Cardinals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cardinals in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678913
Sox · 4 H, 1 ECardinals · 4 H, 0 E
100%
Cardinals win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Cardinals win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Colson Montgomery flies out to center fielder Nathan Church.
top 9Chase Meidroth walks. Tristan Peters to 2nd.
top 9Tristan Peters grounds into a force out, shortstop Masyn Winn to second baseman Thomas Saggese. Miguel Vargas to 3rd. Luisangel Acuña out at 2nd. Tristan Peters to 1st.
top 9Andrew Benintendi flies out to center fielder Nathan Church.
top 9Munetaka Murakami walks. Miguel Vargas to 2nd.
top 9Miguel Vargas singles on a line drive to left fielder Victor Scott II.
bot 8Iván Herrera grounds out, third baseman Miguel Vargas to first baseman Munetaka Murakami.
bot 8Victor Scott II lines out to right fielder Braden Montgomery.

Context the model prices

Chicago White Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Tristan Peters 1-4 · Andrew Benintendi 1-4 · Sam Antonacci 1-4
St. Louis Cardinals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Nathan Church 2-3 · Alec Burleson 1-3, 3 RBI · Masyn Winn 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.