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Pittsburgh Pirates
5
100% — our call
Final
St. Louis Cardinals
4
0% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilitySt. Louis Cardinals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cardinals in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Pirates · 8 H, 0 ECardinals · 9 H, 1 E
0%
Cardinals win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Cardinals win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Alec Burleson grounds out sharply, second baseman Brandon Lowe to first baseman Spencer Horwitz.
bot 9Iván Herrera pops out to first baseman Spencer Horwitz.
bot 9Joshua Báez grounds out, third baseman Nick Yorke to first baseman Spencer Horwitz.
top 9Rafael Flores Jr. strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9Bryan Reynolds singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker.
top 9Oneil Cruz strikes out swinging.
top 9Jared Triolo grounds out, third baseman Ramón Urías to first baseman Alec Burleson.
bot 8Thomas Saggese grounds out, second baseman Brandon Lowe to first baseman Spencer Horwitz.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jared Triolo 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Esmerlyn Valdez 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Brandon Lowe 2-4, 1 RBI
St. Louis Cardinals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Thomas Saggese 3-4 · Bryan Torres 2-2, 1 RBI · Iván Herrera 2-5, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.