Statball

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Pittsburgh Pirates
6
100% — our call
Final
St. Louis Cardinals
2
0% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilitySt. Louis Cardinals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cardinals in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Pirates · 11 H, 3 ECardinals · 3 H, 1 E
0%
Cardinals win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Cardinals win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Ramón Urías strikes out swinging.
bot 9Joshua Báez flies out to center fielder Oneil Cruz.
bot 9Thomas Saggese strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9Oneil Cruz grounds out, pitcher Ryan Fernandez to first baseman Alec Burleson.
top 9Nick Gonzales doubles (23) on a line drive to left fielder Joshua Báez. Brandon Lowe scores. Bryan Reynolds to 3rd.6–2
top 9Bryan Reynolds singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Jordan Walker. Brandon Lowe to 2nd.
top 9Brandon Lowe walks.
top 9Spencer Horwitz flies out to center fielder Nathan Church.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Brandon Lowe 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Rafael Flores Jr. 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Oneil Cruz 2-5
St. Louis Cardinals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Joshua Báez 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Nathan Church 1-4 · Jimmy Crooks 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.