Statball

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Baltimore Orioles
5
0% — our call
Final
St. Louis Cardinals
7
100% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilitySt. Louis Cardinals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cardinals in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Orioles · 7 H, 0 ECardinals · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Cardinals win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Cardinals win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Leody Taveras grounds out, first baseman Alec Burleson to pitcher Riley O'Brien.
top 9Colton Cowser singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Nathan Church.
top 9Coby Mayo pops out to second baseman Ramón Urías.
bot 8Pedro Pagés flies out to center fielder Colton Cowser.
bot 8Nathan Church singles on a line drive to left fielder Dylan Beavers. Ramón Urías scores.5–7
bot 8Ramón Urías walks.
bot 8Nolan Gorman strikes out swinging.
bot 8Joshua Báez strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Coby Mayo 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Jackson Holliday 2-4 · Christian Encarnacion-Strand 2-4
St. Louis Cardinals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Blaze Jordan 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Ramón Urías 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jordan Walker 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.