Statball

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Baltimore Orioles
8
100% — our call
Final
St. Louis Cardinals
7
0% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilitySt. Louis Cardinals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cardinals in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678952116
Orioles · 13 H, 0 ECardinals · 11 H, 0 E
0%
Cardinals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cardinals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9José Fermín pops out to second baseman Jackson Holliday.
bot 9Nathan Church grounds out, second baseman Jackson Holliday to first baseman Christian Encarnacion-Strand. Iván Herrera to 3rd. Jordan Walker to 2nd.
bot 9Jordan Walker walks.
bot 9Alec Burleson grounds out to first baseman Christian Encarnacion-Strand. Iván Herrera to 2nd.
bot 9Iván Herrera singles on a line drive to left fielder Dylan Beavers.
top 9Colton Cowser grounds out, second baseman Ramón Urías to first baseman Alec Burleson.
top 9Leody Taveras lines out sharply to center fielder Nathan Church. Christian Encarnacion-Strand to 3rd.
top 9Dylan Beavers flies out to left fielder José Fermín.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Christian Encarnacion-Strand 4-5, 2 RBI · Leody Taveras 1-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Pete Alonso 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI
St. Louis Cardinals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Nolan Gorman 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Bryan Torres 3-3 · Iván Herrera 3-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.