Statball

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Baltimore Orioles
13
100% — our call
Final
St. Louis Cardinals
1
0% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilitySt. Louis Cardinals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cardinals in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Orioles · 16 H, 0 ECardinals · 7 H, 1 E
0%
Cardinals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cardinals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Ramón Urías grounds out, shortstop Gunnar Henderson to first baseman Samuel Basallo.
bot 9Nolan Gorman strikes out swinging.
bot 9Joshua Báez strikes out swinging.
top 9Jackson Holliday grounds into a double play, shortstop José Fermín to first baseman Iván Herrera. Dylan Beavers out at 2nd. Jackson Holliday out at 1st.
top 9Leody Taveras flies out to right fielder Joshua Báez.
top 9Dylan Beavers singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Nathan Church.
bot 8Bryan Torres strikes out swinging, catcher Carlos Narváez to first baseman Samuel Basallo.
bot 8Jimmy Crooks strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Pete Alonso 4-4, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Christian Encarnacion-Strand 2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Jackson Holliday 3-6, 1 RBI
St. Louis Cardinals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Nathan Church 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · JJ Wetherholt 1-2 · Blaze Jordan 1-1

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.