Statball

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Chicago Cubs
4
100% — our call
Final
St. Louis Cardinals
2
0% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilitySt. Louis Cardinals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cardinals in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cubs · 11 H, 0 ECardinals · 10 H, 1 E
0%
Cardinals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cardinals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Lars Nootbaar strikes out swinging.
bot 10Jimmy Crooks flies out sharply to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.
bot 10Alec Burleson lines out sharply to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.
top 10Pedro Ramírez grounds out, shortstop Masyn Winn to first baseman Alec Burleson.
top 10Nico Hoerner lines out to right fielder Lars Nootbaar.
top 10Ian Happ doubles (21) on a line drive to right fielder Lars Nootbaar. Alex Bregman scores.42
top 10Alex Bregman doubles (21) on a line drive to right fielder Lars Nootbaar. Seiya Suzuki scores.32
top 10Michael Busch grounds out to first baseman Alec Burleson. Seiya Suzuki to 3rd.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Nico Hoerner 3-5 · Alex Bregman 2-4, 1 RBI · Michael Busch 2-5, 1 RBI
St. Louis Cardinals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
JJ Wetherholt 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Bryan Torres 2-4, 1 RBI · Jordan Walker 1-5

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.