Statball

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Cincinnati Reds
4
100% — our call
Final
St. Louis Cardinals
2
0% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilitySt. Louis Cardinals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cardinals in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Reds · 11 H, 0 ECardinals · 2 H, 0 E
0%
Cardinals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cardinals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Lars Nootbaar strikes out swinging.
bot 9Iván Herrera called out on strikes.
bot 9Alec Burleson flies out to center fielder Dane Myers.
top 9Nathaniel Lowe grounds into a double play, first baseman Alec Burleson to shortstop Masyn Winn to pitcher Luis Gastelum. Ke'Bryan Hayes out at 2nd. Nathaniel Lowe out at 1st.
top 9Eugenio Suárez walks.
top 9JJ Bleday grounds out, pitcher Luis Gastelum to second baseman JJ Wetherholt to first baseman Alec Burleson. Sal Stewart to 2nd.
top 9Sal Stewart singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Nelson Velázquez. Elly De La Cruz scores.42
top 9Elly De La Cruz walks.

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Eugenio Suárez 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Sal Stewart 2-5, 1 RBI · Nathaniel Lowe 2-5
St. Louis Cardinals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Blaze Jordan 1-3, 2 RBI · Jimmy Crooks 1-3 · Jordan Walker 0-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.