Statball

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Miami Marlins
1
0% — our call
Final
St. Louis Cardinals
2
100% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilitySt. Louis Cardinals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cardinals in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678912
Marlins · 4 H, 0 ECardinals · 6 H, 0 E
100%
Cardinals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cardinals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Javier Sanoja grounds out to first baseman Alec Burleson.
top 9Xavier Edwards flies out to center fielder Nathan Church.
bot 8JJ Wetherholt strikes out swinging.
bot 8Pedro Pagés singles on a ground ball to left fielder Heriberto Hernández. Nathan Church to 3rd.
bot 8Nathan Church singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jakob Marsee.
bot 8Blaze Jordan grounds out, third baseman Javier Sanoja to first baseman Leo Jiménez.
top 8Kyle Stowers strikes out on a foul tip.
top 8Otto Lopez strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
6 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 28 batters faced over the last two days
Xavier Edwards 1-3 · Graham Pauley 1-2, 1 RBI · Owen Caissie 1-1
St. Louis Cardinals
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 26 batters faced over the last two days
Bryan Torres 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · JJ Wetherholt 2-4 · Nathan Church 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.