Statball

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Miami Marlins
5
100% — our call
Final
St. Louis Cardinals
1
0% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilitySt. Louis Cardinals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cardinals in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Marlins · 13 H, 0 ECardinals · 7 H, 0 E
0%
Cardinals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cardinals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Nathan Church grounds out sharply, shortstop Otto Lopez to first baseman Kyle Stowers.
bot 9Jimmy Crooks strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 9José Fermín grounds out softly, third baseman Javier Sanoja to first baseman Kyle Stowers.
top 9Otto Lopez grounds out, first baseman Alec Burleson to pitcher Justin Bruihl.
top 9Xavier Edwards grounds out, shortstop Masyn Winn to first baseman Alec Burleson. Javier Sanoja to 3rd.
top 9Joe Mack strikes out swinging.
top 9Javier Sanoja singles on a soft bunt ground ball to pitcher Justin Bruihl.
bot 8Masyn Winn strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
6 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 7 batters faced over the last two days
Javier Sanoja 3-4, 1 RBI · Xavier Edwards 3-5, 1 RBI · Kyle Stowers 2-3, 2 RBI
St. Louis Cardinals
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 16 batters faced over the last two days
Lars Nootbaar 2-3 · JJ Wetherholt 2-4 · Jordan Walker 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.