Statball

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Miami Marlins
4
100% — our call
Final
St. Louis Cardinals
0
0% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilitySt. Louis Cardinals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cardinals in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678922
Marlins · 8 H, 0 ECardinals · 3 H, 0 E
0%
Cardinals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cardinals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Lars Nootbaar grounds out, second baseman Xavier Edwards to first baseman Kyle Stowers.
bot 9Jordan Walker strikes out swinging.
bot 9Alec Burleson grounds out to first baseman Kyle Stowers.
top 9Griffin Conine grounds out, second baseman JJ Wetherholt to first baseman Alec Burleson.
top 9Jakob Marsee singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Nathan Church. Joe Mack scores. Esteury Ruiz scores.40
top 9Graham Pauley flies out sharply to right fielder Jordan Walker. Joe Mack to 3rd.
top 9Esteury Ruiz walks. Joe Mack to 2nd.
top 9Joe Mack walks.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
6 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 7 batters faced over the last two days
Esteury Ruiz 2-3 · Griffin Conine 1-3 · Jakob Marsee 1-5, 2 RBI
St. Louis Cardinals
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 16 batters faced over the last two days
Jordan Walker 1-4 · Lars Nootbaar 1-3 · José Fermín 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.