Statball

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San Diego Padres
2
0% — our call
Final
St. Louis Cardinals
3
100% — our call
San Diego Padresgame flow — win probabilitySt. Louis Cardinals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cardinals in control. Red fill: Padres. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891121
Padres · 4 H, 0 ECardinals · 8 H, 0 E
100%
Cardinals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cardinals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Xander Bogaerts grounds out, shortstop Masyn Winn to first baseman Alec Burleson.
top 9Manny Machado walks.
top 9Jackson Merrill flies out to center fielder Nathan Church.
top 9Fernando Tatis Jr. grounds out, shortstop Masyn Winn to first baseman Alec Burleson.
bot 8Alec Burleson grounds out sharply, second baseman Fernando Tatis Jr. to first baseman Ty France.
bot 8Iván Herrera pops out to third baseman Manny Machado in foul territory.
bot 8JJ Wetherholt singles on a line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill.
bot 8Nathan Church grounds out, pitcher Wandy Peralta to first baseman Ty France.

Context the model prices

San Diego Padres
11 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 46 batters faced over the last two days
Jackson Merrill 1-4, 1 RBI · Samad Taylor 1-3 · Ty France 1-3, 1 RBI
St. Louis Cardinals
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 13 batters faced over the last two days
JJ Wetherholt 3-4 · Nathan Church 1-3, 1 RBI · Lars Nootbaar 1-2, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.