Statball

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San Diego Padres
0
0% — our call
Final
St. Louis Cardinals
3
100% — our call
San Diego Padresgame flow — win probabilitySt. Louis Cardinals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cardinals in control. Red fill: Padres. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678921
Padres · 1 H, 0 ECardinals · 8 H, 0 E
100%
Cardinals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cardinals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Fernando Tatis Jr. strikes out swinging.
top 9Rodolfo Durán flies out to right fielder Jordan Walker.
top 9Sung-Mun Song lines out to left fielder Lars Nootbaar.
bot 8Masyn Winn flies out to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr.
bot 8Lars Nootbaar called out on strikes.
bot 8Jordan Walker singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill.
bot 8Alec Burleson grounds out, second baseman Sung-Mun Song to first baseman Ty France.
top 8Ty France strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

San Diego Padres
11 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 33 batters faced over the last two days
Manny Machado 1-3 · Jackson Merrill 0-3 · Rodolfo Durán 0-3
St. Louis Cardinals
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 32 batters faced over the last two days
Jordan Walker 2-4 · Lars Nootbaar 2-3 · Masyn Winn 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.