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Cincinnati Reds
3
0% — our call
Final
St. Louis Cardinals
5
100% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilitySt. Louis Cardinals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cardinals in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567892132
Reds · 10 H, 2 ECardinals · 6 H, 0 E
100%
Cardinals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cardinals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Blake Dunn flies out to center fielder Victor Scott II.
top 9Edwin Arroyo lines out to center fielder Victor Scott II.
top 9Tyler Stephenson doubles (7) on a line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker.
top 9Matt McLain strikes out swinging.
bot 8Lars Nootbaar flies out to left fielder JJ Bleday.
bot 8Jordan Walker grounds into a force out, shortstop Matt McLain to catcher Tyler Stephenson. JJ Wetherholt out at home. Iván Herrera to 3rd. Alec Burleson to 2nd. Jordan Walker to 1st.
bot 8Alec Burleson grounds into a force out, second baseman Edwin Arroyo to catcher Tyler Stephenson. Victor Scott II out at home. JJ Wetherholt to 3rd. Iván Herrera to 2nd. Alec Burleson to 1st.
bot 8Iván Herrera reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by shortstop Matt McLain. Nelson Velázquez scores. Victor Scott II to 3rd. JJ Wetherholt to 2nd. Fielding error by shortstop Matt McLain.35

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
8 on the injured list · bullpen threw 38 batters faced over the last two days
Matt McLain 2-4, 2 HR, 2 RBI · Tyler Stephenson 3-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Nathaniel Lowe 2-3
St. Louis Cardinals
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 38 batters faced over the last two days
Bryan Torres 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jordan Walker 2-5, 1 RBI · José Fermín 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.