Statball

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Cincinnati Reds
5
0% — our call
Final
St. Louis Cardinals
6
100% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilitySt. Louis Cardinals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cardinals in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Reds · 9 H, 0 ECardinals · 13 H, 1 E
100%
Cardinals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cardinals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Sal Stewart grounds out, second baseman Bryan Torres to first baseman Alec Burleson.
top 9Spencer Steer walks.
top 9JJ Bleday singles on a ground ball to center fielder Lars Nootbaar. Will Benson to 3rd.
top 9Will Benson singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jordan Walker.
top 9Nathaniel Lowe strikes out swinging.
top 9Matt McLain lines out to right fielder Jordan Walker.
bot 8Masyn Winn strikes out swinging, catcher P.J. Higgins to first baseman Spencer Steer.
bot 8Jimmy Crooks called out on strikes.

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
9 on the injured list · bullpen threw 26 batters faced over the last two days
Matt McLain 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Blake Dunn 3-4 · Dane Myers 2-4
St. Louis Cardinals
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 19 batters faced over the last two days
Jordan Walker 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Lars Nootbaar 1-1, 1 HR, 2 RBI · José Fermín 3-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.