Statball

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Cincinnati Reds
3
0% — our call
Final
St. Louis Cardinals
10
100% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilitySt. Louis Cardinals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cardinals in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Reds · 9 H, 3 ECardinals · 10 H, 0 E
100%
Cardinals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cardinals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9JJ Bleday strikes out swinging.
top 9Blake Dunn strikes out swinging.
top 9Edwin Arroyo grounds into a force out, second baseman Bryan Torres to shortstop Masyn Winn. Noelvi Marte to 3rd. Tyler Stephenson out at 2nd. Edwin Arroyo to 1st.
top 9Tyler Stephenson singles on a line drive to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Noelvi Marte to 2nd.
top 9Noelvi Marte singles on a line drive to left fielder Lars Nootbaar.
bot 8Lars Nootbaar lines out to center fielder Blake Dunn.
bot 8Victor Scott II hit by pitch. Jimmy Crooks to 2nd.
bot 8Jimmy Crooks walks.

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
9 on the injured list · bullpen threw 26 batters faced over the last two days
Sal Stewart 2-3, 2 RBI · Blake Dunn 2-5 · Noelvi Marte 1-4
St. Louis Cardinals
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 19 batters faced over the last two days
Alec Burleson 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jordan Walker 3-5, 1 RBI · Lars Nootbaar 2-6, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.