Statball

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Chicago Cubs
1
0% — our call
Final
St. Louis Cardinals
5
100% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilitySt. Louis Cardinals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cardinals in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789123
Cubs · 7 H, 0 ECardinals · 8 H, 0 E
100%
Cardinals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cardinals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Michael Conforto flies out sharply to center fielder Victor Scott II.
top 9Michael Busch singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jordan Walker.
top 9Carson Kelly lines out to right fielder Jordan Walker.
top 9Ian Happ strikes out swinging.
bot 8Victor Scott II flies out to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.
bot 8Masyn Winn grounds into a double play, third baseman Alex Bregman to first baseman Michael Busch. Nelson Velázquez out at 3rd. Alec Burleson to 2nd. Masyn Winn out at 1st.
bot 8Alec Burleson walks. Nelson Velázquez to 2nd.
bot 8Nelson Velázquez singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
10 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 20 batters faced over the last two days
Alex Bregman 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Michael Busch 2-4 · Michael Conforto 1-2
St. Louis Cardinals
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 48 batters faced over the last two days
JJ Wetherholt 2-3 · Iván Herrera 2-3 · Jordan Walker 1-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.