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Chicago Cubs
6
100% — our call
Final
St. Louis Cardinals
1
0% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilitySt. Louis Cardinals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cardinals in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cubs · 12 H, 0 ECardinals · 5 H, 3 E
0%
Cardinals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cardinals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Jordan Walker lines out to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.
bot 9Alec Burleson singles on a line drive to right fielder Seiya Suzuki. Iván Herrera out at 3rd on the throw, right fielder Seiya Suzuki to third baseman Alex Bregman.
bot 9Iván Herrera grounds into a force out, third baseman Alex Bregman to second baseman Nico Hoerner. JJ Wetherholt out at 2nd. Iván Herrera to 1st.
bot 9JJ Wetherholt singles on a line drive to left fielder Ian Happ.
top 9Nico Hoerner grounds into a double play, second baseman JJ Wetherholt to shortstop Masyn Winn to first baseman Alec Burleson. Pete Crow-Armstrong out at 2nd. Nico Hoerner out at 1st.
top 9Pete Crow-Armstrong singles on a line drive to center fielder Victor Scott II. Seiya Suzuki scores. Miguel Amaya to 3rd. Dansby Swanson to 2nd.61
top 9Dansby Swanson walks.
top 9Miguel Amaya reaches on catcher interference by Jimmy Crooks. Miguel Amaya to 1st.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
10 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 26 batters faced over the last two days
Pete Crow-Armstrong 4-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Ian Happ 2-5 · Nico Hoerner 2-6, 1 RBI
St. Louis Cardinals
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 22 batters faced over the last two days
JJ Wetherholt 3-4 · Alec Burleson 2-4, 1 RBI · Nolan Gorman 0-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.