Statball

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Chicago Cubs
5
0% — our call
Final
St. Louis Cardinals
6
100% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilitySt. Louis Cardinals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cardinals in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567893113111
Cubs · 11 H, 0 ECardinals · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Cardinals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cardinals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Alex Bregman grounds out, shortstop Masyn Winn to first baseman Alec Burleson.
top 9Michael Busch grounds out, third baseman Nolan Gorman to first baseman Alec Burleson. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores.56
top 9Nico Hoerner lines out, pitcher Riley O'Brien to first baseman Alec Burleson. Pete Crow-Armstrong to 3rd.
top 9Pete Crow-Armstrong doubles (7) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker.
bot 8Nolan Gorman flies out to second baseman Nico Hoerner.
bot 8José Fermín singles on a line drive to left fielder Ian Happ. Nelson Velázquez scores. Masyn Winn to 2nd.46
bot 8Masyn Winn singles on a line drive to right fielder Seiya Suzuki. Nelson Velázquez to 2nd.
bot 8Alec Burleson strikes out on a foul tip.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
10 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
Ian Happ 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Michael Busch 3-5, 2 RBI · Seiya Suzuki 3-4
St. Louis Cardinals
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 5 batters faced over the last two days
Nelson Velázquez 2-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Thomas Saggese 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Iván Herrera 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.