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Pittsburgh Pirates
6
100% — our call
Final
St. Louis Cardinals
2
0% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilitySt. Louis Cardinals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cardinals in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Pirates · 10 H, 0 ECardinals · 8 H, 0 E
0%
Cardinals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cardinals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Yohel Pozo grounds into a double play, third baseman Jared Triolo to second baseman Brandon Lowe to first baseman Spencer Horwitz. Pedro Pagés out at 2nd. Yohel Pozo out at 1st.
bot 9Pedro Pagés singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Oneil Cruz.
bot 9José Fermín grounds out to first baseman Spencer Horwitz.
top 9Bryan Reynolds called out on strikes.
top 9Brandon Lowe grounds out, second baseman JJ Wetherholt to first baseman Alec Burleson.
top 9Oneil Cruz flies out to center fielder Victor Scott II.
bot 8Masyn Winn called out on strikes.
bot 8Nolan Gorman strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 32 batters faced over the last two days
Brandon Lowe 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Henry Davis 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Marcell Ozuna 2-4, 2 RBI
St. Louis Cardinals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 42 batters faced over the last two days
Iván Herrera 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Alec Burleson 2-4 · Pedro Pagés 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.