Statball

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Pittsburgh Pirates
7
100% — our call
Final
St. Louis Cardinals
0
0% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilitySt. Louis Cardinals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cardinals in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891114
Pirates · 15 H, 0 ECardinals · 5 H, 0 E
0%
Cardinals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cardinals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Nathan Church strikes out swinging.
bot 9César Prieto flies out to left fielder Billy Cook.
bot 9Masyn Winn grounds out, second baseman Brandon Lowe to first baseman Spencer Horwitz.
top 9Jake Mangum lines out to second baseman JJ Wetherholt.
top 9Jhostynxon Garcia strikes out swinging.
top 9Endy Rodríguez walks.
top 9Konnor Griffin lines out to center fielder Nathan Church.
bot 8Nolan Gorman strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 16 batters faced over the last two days
Konnor Griffin 4-5 · Spencer Horwitz 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Endy Rodríguez 2-3
St. Louis Cardinals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
JJ Wetherholt 2-4 · Nathan Church 1-4 · Victor Scott II 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.