Statball

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Pittsburgh Pirates
6
0% — our call
Final
St. Louis Cardinals
9
100% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilitySt. Louis Cardinals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cardinals in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Pirates · 12 H, 0 ECardinals · 9 H, 2 E
100%
Cardinals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cardinals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Iván Herrera homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field. Victor Scott II scores. JJ Wetherholt scores.69
bot 10JJ Wetherholt singles on a line drive to right fielder Jake Mangum. Victor Scott II to 3rd.
top 10Nick Gonzales grounds out, third baseman Nolan Gorman to first baseman Alec Burleson.
top 10Endy Rodríguez flies out to right fielder Jordan Walker.
top 10Jake Mangum strikes out swinging.
bot 9Pedro Pagés strikes out swinging.
bot 9Thomas Saggese strikes out swinging.
top 9Brandon Lowe flies out sharply to left fielder Nathan Church.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 15 batters faced over the last two days
Jared Triolo 3-4 · Brandon Lowe 2-5 · Oneil Cruz 2-4, 1 RBI
St. Louis Cardinals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 10 batters faced over the last two days
JJ Wetherholt 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Alec Burleson 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Nolan Gorman 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.