Statball

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Seattle Mariners
11
100% — our call
Final
St. Louis Cardinals
9
0% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilitySt. Louis Cardinals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cardinals in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mariners · 19 H, 0 ECardinals · 14 H, 0 E
0%
Cardinals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cardinals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Nathan Church grounds into a double play, first baseman Josh Naylor to shortstop J.P. Crawford. Nolan Gorman out at 2nd. Nathan Church out at 1st.
bot 9Masyn Winn strikes out swinging.
bot 9Nolan Gorman walks.
top 9Julio Rodríguez strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9Cal Raleigh walks. Leo Rivas to 2nd.
top 9Connor Joe lines out to center fielder Victor Scott II. Cole Young to 3rd.
top 9Leo Rivas singles on a line drive to center fielder Victor Scott II. J.P. Crawford scores. Mitch Garver scores. Cole Young to 2nd.119
top 9Cole Young hit by pitch. J.P. Crawford to 3rd. Mitch Garver to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 11 batters faced over the last two days
Cole Young 3-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Julio Rodríguez 3-6, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Will Wilson 1-2, 1 HR, 2 RBI
St. Louis Cardinals
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 13 batters faced over the last two days
Nathan Church 2-4, 2 HR, 4 RBI · JJ Wetherholt 3-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Pedro Pagés 3-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.