Statball

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Cleveland Guardians
5
0% — our call
Final
St. Louis Cardinals
6
100% — our call
Cleveland Guardiansgame flow — win probabilitySt. Louis Cardinals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cardinals in control. Red fill: Guardians. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Guardians · 9 H, 1 ECardinals · 8 H, 0 E
100%
Cardinals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cardinals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Nathan Church out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Angel Martínez. Thomas Saggese scores.56
top 10Juan Brito grounds out, first baseman Alec Burleson to pitcher Riley O'Brien.
top 10Kyle Manzardo strikes out swinging.
top 10José Ramírez flies out to center fielder Nathan Church.
bot 9Thomas Saggese strikes out swinging.
bot 9Yohel Pozo doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Angel Martínez. Masyn Winn scores.55
bot 9Masyn Winn reaches on a fielding error by second baseman Juan Brito.
bot 9Nolan Gorman flies out to center fielder Daniel Schneemann.

Context the model prices

Cleveland Guardians
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 36 batters faced over the last two days
José Ramírez 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Daniel Schneemann 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Kyle Manzardo 2-5
St. Louis Cardinals
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 35 batters faced over the last two days
JJ Wetherholt 2-4, 2 HR, 3 RBI · Iván Herrera 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jordan Walker 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.