Statball

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Boston Red Sox
9
100% — our call
Final
St. Louis Cardinals
3
0% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilitySt. Louis Cardinals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cardinals in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Sox · 11 H, 0 ECardinals · 7 H, 1 E
0%
Cardinals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cardinals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Thomas Saggese strikes out swinging.
bot 9José Fermín grounds out softly, first baseman Willson Contreras to pitcher Zack Kelly.
bot 9Ramón Urías flies out to left fielder Jarren Duran.
top 9Marcelo Mayer flies out to center fielder Victor Scott II.
top 9Trevor Story doubles (3) on a ground ball to right fielder Jordan Walker. Jarren Duran scores. Wilyer Abreu scores.93
top 9Wilyer Abreu walks. Jarren Duran to 2nd.
top 9Willson Contreras flies out sharply to left fielder José Fermín.
top 9Jarren Duran walks.

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 32 batters faced over the last two days
Willson Contreras 4-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Trevor Story 4-5, 2 RBI · Connor Wong 1-4
St. Louis Cardinals
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 36 batters faced over the last two days
Jordan Walker 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Alec Burleson 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Victor Scott II 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.