Statball

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Boston Red Sox
2
0% — our call
Final
St. Louis Cardinals
3
100% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilitySt. Louis Cardinals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cardinals in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789212
Sox · 5 H, 0 ECardinals · 8 H, 1 E
100%
Cardinals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cardinals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Marcelo Mayer strikes out swinging.
top 9Trevor Story grounds out, shortstop Thomas Saggese to first baseman Alec Burleson.
top 9Wilyer Abreu grounds out, second baseman JJ Wetherholt to first baseman Alec Burleson.
bot 8Alec Burleson strikes out swinging.
bot 8Jovani Morán intentionally walks Iván Herrera.
bot 8JJ Wetherholt strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 8Victor Scott II bunt pops out to third baseman Caleb Durbin in foul territory.
bot 8Pedro Pagés doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran.

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 18 batters faced over the last two days
Wilyer Abreu 2-4 · Ceddanne Rafaela 1-3 · Masataka Yoshida 1-3
St. Louis Cardinals
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 11 batters faced over the last two days
Jordan Walker 2-4 · Victor Scott II 1-2, 1 RBI · José Fermín 1-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.