Statball

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Tampa Bay Rays
11
100% — our call
Final
St. Louis Cardinals
7
0% — our call
Tampa Bay Raysgame flow — win probabilitySt. Louis Cardinals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cardinals in control. Red fill: Rays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Rays · 17 H, 1 ECardinals · 11 H, 0 E
0%
Cardinals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cardinals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Masyn Winn grounds out, third baseman Junior Caminero to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
bot 9Alec Burleson grounds out, shortstop Carson Williams to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
bot 9Iván Herrera lines out sharply to left fielder Chandler Simpson.
top 9Cedric Mullins grounds out, second baseman JJ Wetherholt to first baseman Alec Burleson.
top 9Jonathan Aranda flies out to shortstop Masyn Winn.
top 9Yandy Díaz singles on a ground ball to pitcher Chris Roycroft. Ben Williamson scores. Carson Williams to 3rd. Nick Fortes to 2nd.117
top 9Nick Fortes walks. Ben Williamson to 3rd. Carson Williams to 2nd.
top 9Carson Williams hits a sacrifice bunt. Jonny DeLuca scores. Ben Williamson to 2nd. Carson Williams to 1st.107

Context the model prices

Tampa Bay Rays
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 16 batters faced over the last two days
Yandy Díaz 5-6, 4 RBI · Jonathan Aranda 3-6, 2 RBI · Chandler Simpson 2-4
St. Louis Cardinals
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 18 batters faced over the last two days
Jordan Walker 3-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Pedro Pagés 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Nolan Gorman 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.