Statball

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New York Mets
4
100% — our call
Final
St. Louis Cardinals
2
0% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilitySt. Louis Cardinals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cardinals in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678911211
Mets · 10 H, 0 ECardinals · 5 H, 0 E
0%
Cardinals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cardinals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Nathan Church strikes out swinging.
bot 9Jordan Walker pops out to first baseman Brett Baty in foul territory.
bot 9Nolan Gorman pops out to third baseman Bo Bichette.
top 9Luis Robert Jr. grounds out, third baseman Nolan Gorman to first baseman Alec Burleson.
top 9Brett Baty grounds out, pitcher George Soriano to first baseman Alec Burleson.
top 9Jorge Polanco lines out to second baseman JJ Wetherholt.
bot 8Masyn Winn grounds out, second baseman Marcus Semien to first baseman Brett Baty.
bot 8Alec Burleson flies out to center fielder Luis Robert Jr.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 48 batters faced over the last two days
Carson Benge 2-4 · Jorge Polanco 2-5 · Bo Bichette 1-5, 2 RBI
St. Louis Cardinals
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 44 batters faced over the last two days
Nolan Gorman 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Alec Burleson 2-4, 1 RBI · Jordan Walker 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.