Statball

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Tampa Bay Rays
5
0% — our call
Final
St. Louis Cardinals
6
100% — our call
Tampa Bay Raysgame flow — win probabilitySt. Louis Cardinals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cardinals in control. Red fill: Rays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Rays · 7 H, 1 ECardinals · 6 H, 2 E
100%
Cardinals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cardinals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10JJ Wetherholt singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jake Fraley. Nathan Church scores. Jordan Walker scores.56
bot 10Victor Scott II out on a sacrifice bunt, third baseman Junior Caminero to second baseman Ben Williamson. Nathan Church to 3rd. Jordan Walker to 2nd.
bot 10Jordan Walker walks.
top 10Jake Fraley strikes out swinging and Jonny DeLuca caught stealing 2nd, catcher Pedro Pagés to shortstop Masyn Winn to catcher Pedro Pagés.
top 10Jonathan Aranda strikes out swinging.
top 10Yandy Díaz singles on a ground ball to center fielder Victor Scott II. Ben Williamson scores.54
bot 9Nathan Church strikes out swinging.
bot 9Ramón Urías strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Tampa Bay Rays
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 20 batters faced over the last two days
Chandler Simpson 2-4 · Carson Williams 1-4, 2 RBI · Jonathan Aranda 1-3
St. Louis Cardinals
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 26 batters faced over the last two days
JJ Wetherholt 2-5, 2 RBI · Nolan Gorman 1-4, 1 RBI · Alec Burleson 1-3, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.