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Houston Astros
5
0% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
6
100% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Astros · 10 H, 0 EMariners · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Josh Naylor singles on a line drive to center fielder Lucas Spence. Randy Arozarena scores. Cal Raleigh to 3rd. Julio Rodríguez to 2nd.5–6
bot 10Julio Rodríguez walks. J.P. Crawford scores. Randy Arozarena to 3rd. Cal Raleigh to 2nd.5–5
bot 10Cal Raleigh walks.
bot 10Dominic Canzone grounds out, shortstop Nick Allen to first baseman LaMonte Wade Jr. J.P. Crawford to 3rd. Randy Arozarena to 2nd.
top 10Taylor Trammell grounds out, second baseman Michael Arroyo to first baseman Josh Naylor.
top 10Nelson Velázquez strikes out swinging.
top 10Yainer Diaz triples (1) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Taylor Ward. Yordan Alvarez scores.5–4
top 10Isaac Paredes grounds out, third baseman J.P. Crawford to first baseman Josh Naylor.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Yainer Diaz 2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Nick Allen 2-4 · Jose Altuve 2-5, 1 RBI
Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Julio Rodríguez 3-4, 2 RBI · Dominic Canzone 2-5, 3 RBI · Josh Naylor 1-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.