Statball

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Texas Rangers
3
0% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
4
100% — our call
Texas Rangersgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Rangers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789214
Rangers · 4 H, 0 EMariners · 4 H, 1 E
100%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Evan Carter walks.
top 9Wyatt Langford walks.
top 9Brandon Nimmo grounds out, shortstop J.P. Crawford to first baseman Josh Naylor.
top 9Ezequiel Duran grounds out sharply, second baseman Cole Young to first baseman Josh Naylor.
bot 8Dominic Canzone called out on strikes.
bot 8Robby Ahlstrom intentionally walks Randy Arozarena.
bot 8J.P. Crawford out on a sacrifice bunt, third baseman Cody Freeman to first baseman Jake Burger. Victor Robles to 2nd.
bot 8Taylor Ward walks.

Context the model prices

Texas Rangers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Joc Pederson 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Nicky Lopez 2-2, 1 RBI · Danny Jansen 1-2
Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Julio Rodríguez 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Cole Young 1-3 · Dominic Canzone 1-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.