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Houston Astros
7
100% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
0
0% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Astros · 12 H, 0 EMariners · 4 H, 1 E
0%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Michael Arroyo strikes out swinging.
bot 9Lazaro Montes flies out to left fielder Nelson Velázquez.
bot 9Cole Young strikes out swinging.
top 9Cam Smith lines into an unassisted double play, first baseman Josh Naylor. Taylor Trammell out at 1st.
top 9Taylor Trammell walks.
top 9Christian Walker strikes out swinging.
bot 8Josh Naylor grounds into a double play, shortstop Nick Allen to first baseman Christian Walker. Julio Rodríguez out at 2nd. Josh Naylor out at 1st.
bot 8Julio Rodríguez singles on a line drive to left fielder Nelson Velázquez.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Isaac Paredes 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Yordan Alvarez 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Christian Walker 1-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI
Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Julio Rodríguez 2-4 · Cole Young 1-3 · Dominic Canzone 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.