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Athletics
7
100% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
6
0% — our call
Athleticsgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Athletics. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Athletics · 11 H, 1 EMariners · 10 H, 1 E
0%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Julio Rodríguez flies out to center fielder Denzel Clarke.
bot 9Dominic Canzone grounds out softly, pitcher Hogan Harris to first baseman Jeff McNeil. Randy Arozarena to 2nd.
bot 9Randy Arozarena walks.
bot 9Patrick Wisdom called out on strikes.
top 9Zack Gelof grounds out, shortstop J.P. Crawford to first baseman Josh Naylor.
top 9Jeff McNeil strikes out swinging.
top 9Henry Bolte grounds out, second baseman Cole Young to first baseman Josh Naylor.
bot 8Taylor Ward pops out to shortstop Alika Williams.

Context the model prices

Athletics
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Max Muncy 3-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Zack Gelof 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jeff McNeil 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI
Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Cal Raleigh 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Josh Naylor 3-4, 1 RBI · Brock Rodden 2-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.