Statball

← All live games · T-Mobile Park

Athletics
7
100% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
4
0% — our call
Athleticsgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Athletics. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678911211131
Athletics · 14 H, 0 EMariners · 9 H, 0 E
0%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
—
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
—
our live number minus theirs
—
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Taylor Ward strikes out swinging, catcher Brian Serven to first baseman Jeff McNeil.
bot 9J.P. Crawford grounds out, second baseman Darell Hernaiz to first baseman Jeff McNeil.
bot 9Lazaro Montes strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9Brian Serven grounds out, third baseman Brock Rodden to first baseman Josh Naylor.
top 9Darell Hernaiz strikes out swinging.
top 9Jeff McNeil doubles (20) on a line drive to right fielder Lazaro Montes. Jonah Heim scores.7–4
top 9Jonah Heim doubles (17) on a line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena.
top 9Lawrence Butler grounds out, third baseman Brock Rodden to first baseman Josh Naylor.

Context the model prices

Athletics
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Zack Gelof 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Donovan Walton 1-1, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Lawrence Butler 2-5, 2 RBI
Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Cole Young 2-5 · Lazaro Montes 1-5, 1 RBI · Randy Arozarena 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.