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Philadelphia Phillies
6
100% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
0
0% — our call
Philadelphia Philliesgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Phillies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Phillies · 10 H, 0 EMariners · 2 H, 0 E
0%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Patrick Wisdom lines out to left fielder Brandon Marsh.
bot 9Cal Raleigh strikes out swinging.
bot 9Julio Rodríguez strikes out swinging.
bot 9Randy Arozarena singles on a ground ball to left fielder Brandon Marsh.
top 9Trea Turner flies out sharply to center fielder Julio Rodríguez.
top 9Kyle Schwarber called out on strikes.
top 9Justin Crawford grounds out, pitcher Carlos Vargas to first baseman Patrick Wisdom. J.T. Realmuto to 2nd.
top 9J.T. Realmuto singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena.

Context the model prices

Philadelphia Phillies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Bryce Harper 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Kyle Schwarber 2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Bryson Stott 3-4
Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Randy Arozarena 1-3 · Jhonny Pereda 1-2 · Weston Wilson 0-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.