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Philadelphia Phillies
2
0% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
9
100% — our call
Philadelphia Philliesgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Phillies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Phillies · 5 H, 1 EMariners · 10 H, 0 E
100%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Brandon Marsh strikes out swinging.
top 9Bryson Stott grounds out, pitcher Carlos Vargas to first baseman Josh Naylor.
top 9Alec Bohm grounds out, pitcher Carlos Vargas to first baseman Josh Naylor.
bot 8Julio Rodríguez called out on strikes.
bot 8Dominic Canzone lines out sharply to right fielder Bryce Harper.
bot 8Randy Arozarena walks.
bot 8Brock Rodden strikes out swinging.
top 8Luis Arraez grounds out, second baseman Cole Young to first baseman Josh Naylor.

Context the model prices

Philadelphia Phillies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
J.T. Realmuto 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Bryce Harper 2-3 · Bryson Stott 1-4
Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Cal Raleigh 3-3, 3 HR, 4 RBI · Julio Rodríguez 2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Josh Naylor 3-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.