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Philadelphia Phillies
1
0% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
4
100% — our call
Philadelphia Philliesgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Phillies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Phillies · 6 H, 0 EMariners · 5 H, 0 E
100%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Bryan De La Cruz strikes out swinging.
top 9Brandon Marsh lines out to left fielder Randy Arozarena.
top 9Bryson Stott strikes out swinging.
bot 8Taylor Ward lines out to right fielder Bryce Harper.
bot 8Cole Young grounds into a force out, pitcher Jonathan Bowlan to shortstop Trea Turner. Cal Raleigh out at 2nd. Cole Young to 1st.
bot 8Cal Raleigh walks.
bot 8Josh Naylor flies out to left fielder Brandon Marsh.
top 8Luis Arraez grounds out, third baseman J.P. Crawford to first baseman Josh Naylor.

Context the model prices

Philadelphia Phillies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Bryce Harper 2-4 · Brandon Marsh 1-4 · Justin Crawford 1-3, 1 RBI
Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Cal Raleigh 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Josh Naylor 1-4, 1 RBI · J.P. Crawford 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.