Statball

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Chicago Cubs
4
0% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
5
100% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678913113
Cubs · 7 H, 0 EMariners · 8 H, 0 E
100%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Randy Arozarena homers (19) on a fly ball to center field. Leo Rivas scores.45
bot 9Leo Rivas singles on a fly ball to right fielder Tyrone Taylor. Weston Wilson scores.43
bot 9Weston Wilson doubles (4) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.
bot 9Cole Young lines out to right fielder Tyrone Taylor.
bot 9Cal Raleigh pops out to shortstop Nico Hoerner.
top 9Miguel Amaya pops out to first baseman Josh Naylor.
top 9Ian Happ strikes out swinging.
top 9Pedro Ramírez pops out to third baseman Weston Wilson.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Alex Bregman 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Michael Busch 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Tyrone Taylor 1-2, 1 RBI
Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Randy Arozarena 3-4, 2 HR, 3 RBI · Weston Wilson 2-4 · Leo Rivas 2-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.