Statball

← All live games · T-Mobile Park

Chicago Cubs
5
0% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
6
100% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678910311411
Cubs · 12 H, 1 EMariners · 8 H, 2 E
100%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Leo Rivas singles on a line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Randy Arozarena scores. Josh Naylor to 2nd.56
bot 10Ryan Zeferjahn intentionally walks Josh Naylor.
bot 10Julio Rodríguez grounds out, pitcher Ryan Zeferjahn to first baseman Michael Busch.
bot 10Victor Robles out on a sacrifice bunt, pitcher Ryan Zeferjahn to second baseman Pedro Ramírez. Randy Arozarena to 3rd.
top 10Carson Kelly flies out to center fielder Julio Rodríguez.
top 10Michael Conforto strikes out swinging. Nico Hoerner steals (21) 3rd base.
top 10Pedro Ramírez pops out to first baseman Josh Naylor in foul territory.
bot 9Randy Arozarena grounds out, shortstop Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Alex Bregman 3-5, 2 HR, 3 RBI · Ian Happ 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Pete Crow-Armstrong 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Cal Raleigh 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Brendan Donovan 2-5, 1 RBI · Josh Naylor 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.