Statball

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Tampa Bay Rays
2
100% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
1
0% — our call
Tampa Bay Raysgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Rays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Rays · 6 H, 0 EMariners · 4 H, 0 E
0%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Josh Naylor called out on strikes.
bot 9Julio Rodríguez homers (18) on a fly ball to left field.21
bot 9Dominic Canzone strikes out swinging.
bot 9Randy Arozarena called out on strikes.
top 9Yandy Díaz flies out to right fielder Taylor Ward.
top 9Taylor Walls strikes out swinging.
top 9Richie Palacios walks.
top 9Victor Mesa Jr. singles on a fly ball to center fielder Julio Rodríguez.

Context the model prices

Tampa Bay Rays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jonathan Aranda 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jonny DeLuca 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Victor Mesa Jr. 2-4
Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Julio Rodríguez 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Cole Young 1-4 · Colt Emerson 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.