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Tampa Bay Rays
4
100% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
1
0% — our call
Tampa Bay Raysgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Rays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891121
Rays · 14 H, 2 EMariners · 6 H, 0 E
0%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Taylor Ward flies out to center fielder Cedric Mullins.
bot 9Colt Emerson reaches on a fielder's choice. Josh Naylor to 2nd. Josh Naylor advances to 2nd, on a fielding error by shortstop Taylor Walls.
bot 9Weston Wilson flies out sharply to center fielder Cedric Mullins.
bot 9Cal Raleigh flies out sharply to left fielder Chandler Simpson.
bot 9Josh Naylor hit by pitch.
top 9Cedric Mullins pops out to third baseman Weston Wilson.
top 9Victor Mesa Jr. flies out sharply to center fielder Julio Rodríguez.
top 9Liam Hicks pops out to third baseman Weston Wilson in foul territory.

Context the model prices

Tampa Bay Rays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Chandler Simpson 4-5 · Yandy Díaz 4-5, 1 RBI · Liam Hicks 2-5, 2 RBI
Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Cole Young 2-4, 1 RBI · Dominic Canzone 2-4 · Josh Naylor 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.