Statball

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Detroit Tigers
2
0% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
4
100% — our call
Detroit Tigersgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Tigers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789231
Tigers · 4 H, 0 EMariners · 7 H, 0 E
100%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Max Clark grounds out, second baseman Cole Young to first baseman Josh Naylor.
top 9Spencer Torkelson strikes out swinging.
top 9Colt Keith strikes out swinging.
bot 8Julio Rodríguez flies out to right fielder James Outman.
bot 8Dominic Canzone flies out to center fielder Max Clark.
bot 8Randy Arozarena singles on a ground ball to left fielder Riley Greene.
bot 8Cole Young pops out to shortstop Kevin McGonigle.
bot 8Colt Emerson homers (8) on a fly ball to right center field.24

Context the model prices

Detroit Tigers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Dillon Dingler 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Gleyber Torres 1-3 · Max Clark 1-3
Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Julio Rodríguez 2-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Colt Emerson 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Randy Arozarena 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.