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Detroit Tigers
8
100% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
0
0% — our call
Detroit Tigersgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Tigers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789314
Tigers · 13 H, 0 EMariners · 4 H, 1 E
0%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Cal Raleigh called out on strikes.
bot 9Josh Naylor walks. Julio Rodríguez to 2nd.
bot 9Julio Rodríguez singles on a line drive to center fielder Max Clark.
bot 9Dominic Canzone strikes out swinging.
top 9Max Clark strikes out swinging.
top 9Spencer Torkelson strikes out swinging.
top 9Colt Keith walks. Riley Greene to 2nd.
top 9Riley Greene singles on a line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena.

Context the model prices

Detroit Tigers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Riley Greene 3-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Dillon Dingler 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Zach McKinstry 3-3
Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Randy Arozarena 1-4 · Dominic Canzone 1-4 · Cal Raleigh 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.