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Minnesota Twins
3
0% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
4
100% — our call
Minnesota Twinsgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Twins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Twins · 7 H, 0 EMariners · 7 H, 0 E
100%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Cal Raleigh grounds out to first baseman Royce Lewis. Randy Arozarena scores. Julio Rodríguez to 2nd.34
bot 9Andrew Morris intentionally walks Julio Rodríguez.
bot 9Dominic Canzone flies out to left fielder Trevor Larnach. Randy Arozarena to 3rd.
bot 9Randy Arozarena doubles (23) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Trevor Larnach.
top 9Umpire reviewed (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Victor Caratini called out on strikes and Luke Keaschall caught stealing 2nd, catcher Mitch Garver to shortstop Leo Rivas to catcher Mitch Garver.
top 9Luke Keaschall grounds into a force out, third baseman Weston Wilson to second baseman Cole Young. Brooks Lee out at 2nd. Luke Keaschall to 1st.
top 9Brooks Lee singles on a ground ball to shortstop Leo Rivas.
bot 8Cole Young grounds out to first baseman Royce Lewis.

Context the model prices

Minnesota Twins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Trevor Larnach 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Luke Keaschall 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Brooks Lee 2-4
Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Randy Arozarena 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Cole Young 2-5 · Josh Naylor 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.