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Cincinnati Reds
5
100% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
3
0% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Reds · 8 H, 0 EMariners · 7 H, 0 E
0%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Luke Raley flies out to left fielder JJ Bleday.
bot 9Cal Raleigh grounds out to first baseman Sal Stewart.
bot 9Josh Naylor flies out to center fielder Dane Myers.
top 9Elly De La Cruz strikes out swinging.
top 9Ke'Bryan Hayes grounds out, third baseman Weston Wilson to first baseman Josh Naylor. Edwin Arroyo to 2nd.
top 9Edwin Arroyo singles on a line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena.
top 9Dane Myers grounds out sharply, third baseman Weston Wilson to first baseman Josh Naylor.
bot 8Randy Arozarena grounds out softly, pitcher Brock Burke to first baseman Sal Stewart.

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Sal Stewart 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · JJ Bleday 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Dane Myers 2-4, 1 RBI
Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Josh Naylor 2-4 · Randy Arozarena 1-4 · Dominic Canzone 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.