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Minnesota Twins
5
100% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
3
0% — our call
Minnesota Twinsgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Twins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Twins · 7 H, 0 EMariners · 4 H, 0 E
0%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Mitch Garver strikes out swinging.
bot 9Colt Emerson grounds out softly, third baseman Brooks Lee to first baseman Victor Caratini. Cal Raleigh to 3rd. Weston Wilson to 2nd.
bot 9Weston Wilson walks. Cal Raleigh to 2nd.
bot 9Cal Raleigh walks.
bot 9Josh Naylor lines out to left fielder Kody Clemens.
top 9Luke Keaschall strikes out swinging.
top 9Brooks Lee grounds out, pitcher Michael Rucker to first baseman Josh Naylor.
top 9Austin Martin grounds out, second baseman Cole Young to first baseman Josh Naylor.

Context the model prices

Minnesota Twins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Brooks Lee 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Ryan Jeffers 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Royce Lewis 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Cole Young 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Dominic Canzone 1-4 · Cal Raleigh 1-3, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.