Statball

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Cincinnati Reds
0
0% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
8
100% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789161
Reds · 3 H, 1 EMariners · 13 H, 0 E
100%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Noelvi Marte strikes out swinging.
top 9JJ Bleday called out on strikes.
top 9Sal Stewart strikes out swinging.
bot 8Josh Naylor grounds out to first baseman Sal Stewart.
bot 8Cal Raleigh grounds into a force out, second baseman Edwin Arroyo to shortstop Elly De La Cruz. Colt Emerson scores. Randy Arozarena to 3rd. Dominic Canzone out at 2nd. Cal Raleigh to 1st.08
bot 8Dominic Canzone singles on a line drive to left fielder JJ Bleday. Colt Emerson to 3rd. Randy Arozarena to 2nd.
bot 8Weston Wilson pops out to second baseman Edwin Arroyo on the infield fly rule.
bot 8Randy Arozarena hit by pitch. Colt Emerson to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Dane Myers 1-3 · Ke'Bryan Hayes 1-3 · Edwin Arroyo 1-2
Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Victor Robles 4-4 · Cal Raleigh 1-5, 1 HR, 5 RBI · Randy Arozarena 2-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.