Statball

← All live games · T-Mobile Park

San Francisco Giants
3
0% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
6
100% — our call
San Francisco Giantsgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Giants. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789212112
Giants · 5 H, 1 EMariners · 12 H, 0 E
100%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Willy Adames strikes out swinging.
top 9Jung Hoo Lee grounds out, third baseman J.P. Crawford to first baseman Josh Naylor.
top 9Heliot Ramos strikes out swinging.
bot 8Julio Rodríguez pops out to third baseman Casey Schmitt.
bot 8J.P. Crawford walks.
bot 8Colt Emerson grounds out, second baseman Luis Arraez to first baseman Rafael Devers. Mitch Garver to 3rd.
bot 8Luke Raley flies out to left fielder Heliot Ramos.
bot 8Mitch Garver doubles (3) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee.

Context the model prices

San Francisco Giants
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Bryce Eldridge 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Casey Schmitt 1-4 · Heliot Ramos 1-4, 1 RBI
Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Cole Young 3-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Luke Raley 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Josh Naylor 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.