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Cincinnati Reds
4
100% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
2
0% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789111111
Reds · 5 H, 0 EMariners · 6 H, 1 E
0%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Dominic Canzone strikes out swinging.
bot 9Randy Arozarena grounds out, third baseman Ke'Bryan Hayes to first baseman Sal Stewart.
bot 9Cole Young flies out to center fielder Dane Myers.
top 9TJ Friedl lines out to right fielder Victor Robles.
top 9Jose Trevino strikes out swinging.
top 9Noelvi Marte flies out to second baseman Cole Young.
top 9Nathaniel Lowe homers (12) on a fly ball to left field.42
bot 8Weston Wilson strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Elly De La Cruz 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Nathaniel Lowe 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Eugenio Suárez 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Josh Naylor 3-4 · Weston Wilson 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Julio Rodríguez 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.